GAMBLING TIME

[sub_divided]

worldserpent said:

[Death Note] is going to continue until it is canceled. Because Light is the hero, up to that point, everyone up against him is teh doomed. So I think we need to start mourning pre-emptively for anyone who's going to turn on him...

me: AIZAWA ;__;
her: I should so have started a DN death pool...
me: It's not too late, you know.
her: Heh, you should make a poll asking people if you think Light, Misa, Near, etc. are going to be dead by the end of the series.

So I made a poll. But then I thought, a betting pool would be so much more fun! So here's the deal: I'm allowing a maximum bet of &50, where &50 is just like $50 except the money's imaginary. I want you to leave a comment with your money split however you like on whomever you like. Here are my odds (and no, they don't add up to exactly one. I rounded for prettier numbers).

BET: WHO WILL BE THE NEXT TO DIE?
ODDS:
(1:4) Aizawa
(1:5) That New Guy
(1:6) Mogi
(1:6) Lester, head of the SPK
(1:9) Hal, SPK female operative
(1:11) Near
(1:12) Mello
(1:24) Matsuda
(1:50) Roger
(1:60) Sakura TV Guy
(1:80) Ide
(1:99) Misa
(1:149) Light
(1:999) Ryuk
(1:9999) L
(1:99999) All aforementioned characters are still alive at the end of the series.


Payout is standard: for every & you bet, I pay the the right-hand number times that if you're right. (Virtually, of course.) So if you bet &10 on Misa, you get &990. Simple, right?

I'm screening comments. If you comment and it's not to place a bet, I'll unscreen it. This game is open to everyone, even random people I don't know, and will end as soon as one of the above characters dies or the series ends, when I will announce payouts.

EDIT: Raye Penbar? Why the heck would anyone want to bet on Raye... fine, fine, if that's the way it's going to be. I'll give 1:14999 odds, out of respect for the total randomness of that bet.

EDIT2: Game's over, telophase wins! I lose, considering I have to pay her &1200 when I only took in ~&450 from bets (some people did not specify amounts). Anyway, since the game is over, comments have all been unscreened.